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Mind Over Poker - Suckouts Don’t Even Out

by David Apostolico |  Published: Mar 18, 2011

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Yes, that’s right; you read the title of this column correctly. Suckouts don’t even out. Some players inflict bad beats more than they receive them, and others fall victim to suckouts at what seems to be a greater rate than others, even in the long run. How can that be? What explains this phenomenon? Are some players just naturally luckier than others? Quite the contrary; luck will even out in the long term, but suckouts won’t. Let me explain. I’m a firm believer that poker is a game of skill, subject to real short-term variance. Due to the capriciousness of the cards and lady luck, you will experience some wild fluctuations. Over the long term, however, that all evens out — and skill wins out. The great players will have losing sessions but winning careers. And the great players will suffer bad beats at a greater rate than they will ...


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