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The Poker Player’s Manifesto: - Conditional Probability

by Bryan Devonshire |  Published: Apr 15, 2015


In our previous discussion about knowing our enemy, we focused on creating a dossier of facts about our opponents that we can constantly reference to help us better assign ranges to them. We should be making mental notes of anything that sticks out as unique about them, and moving forward, we can reflect on these hands we have seen them play before to better help us predict how they will play hands in the future. It starts as simply as that person raised, I have seen them raise hands as bad as this hand, and I have observed them to raise about this percentage of hands in this spot, so therefore, they can have any hand as bad as this hand or as good as aces. Then everything they do after that narrows that range down to smaller and smaller sets of hands, and eventually, we get the best picture ...

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