As I write this, the World Series of Poker is two days away from its starting date. As you read this, approximately two weeks of events will have concluded. Thus, I can make predictions now and look like a fool as you read this. First off, I will talk about the fields. They will be bigger than ever, and luckily the tournament venue at the Riois large enough to store 747 airplanes. So, how many people will play? I think the opening event should have more than 1,200 players. Everyone from the top professionals to anyone who likes no-limit hold'em and can cough up $1,500 should be there. The final event should attract more than 4,000 players, and Harrah's plans on capping the event at 6,600 players. As silly as that sounds, if you have played tournament poker in the past, it is somewhat realistic, because you can qualify almost every hour by playing online poker.
Why so many people? The simple answer is that there is only one World Series of Poker. Like every other year, the World Series championship event will have the largest prize pool of all sports.
My second prediction relates to players who will have a good World Series. This is not my championship prediction, but more of who will do well in the other 40 events. These days, some of the top players play only championship events a couple of times a month. You can't survive at the World Series with that mentality. Events are played until 3 a.m.every day, so you have to have good stamina. You have to be well-rested, well-hydrated, in good shape, confident, and prepared for a lot of failure. For those who play in 40 events, making two or three final tables is good, and winning one event in the process is great. Therefore, more than 90 percent of the time will be considered failure to those players. The difference now is that you are forced to come back day after day and try again. When you play only a couple of events a month, you have time to recuperate. Those who will do well are those who do not have any quit in them. Many times in tournaments, one accumulates chips early and then takes some beats. The players who will prosper are those who hang in there after their chips are at 30 percent of their high point, but they do not quit. Those who can grind back will be successful. So, who are these people who are in stride? I will name a few who I think will have won a lot of money by the time you read this. John Phan is hot, has played in several events this year, and has no quit in him. Ted Forrest is spooky, meaning that it seems like he knows what will come, and what you have. He is currently second in the Player of the Year standings, and will be playing in almost every event. Finally, Phil Ivey will do well. He made four championship final tables in a row this year, has no problem playing for 15 consecutive hours, and seems to be focused on tournament poker. Also, all of the typical studs will do well, because it is the World Series, and superstars step up when the bracelets are on the line.![]()
John Phan Vol. 18, No. 12
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Ask Chip and Karina
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Cappelletti in Atlantic City – Tournament action is growing in Atlantic City
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The Implied Odds Problem – Utilizing the concept of implied odds in making a calling decision
by Jim Brier
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Poker on Campus – Interest in poker is growing on college campuses
by Bob Ciaffone
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An Open Letter to Doyle Brunson – An appeal to lead poker's march into the future
by Roy Cooke
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Raising the Bar – With Five Final-Table Appearances in 2005, the Current Player of the Year Leader, John Phan is Lighting It Up
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Will the Stuey Ungar Book Prove Sexton Right Again? A long time in the making
by Greg Dinkin
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Prediction – Will perfection be maintained in predicting a tournament winner?
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Book Reports Make Me Feel Like I am Back in School! A fun, entertaining quick-read poker book
by Jan Fisher
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Professional Poker Tour Hands – Part I – A calculated bluff on the river
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The Sweet 16 – The National Heads-Up Poker Championship
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The World Series is Here
by Jeff Shulman
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Play a Tournament With Me – Part II – The Professional Poker Tour at Bellagio in Las Vegas
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Failing to Adjust – Failing to adjust your play to your opponents can spell doom
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Fold Equity – Why Aggressiveness Makes Mathematical Sense – A mathematical look at playing A-K in no-limit hold'em
by Matt Matros
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The Power Play on the Flop – Examples of utilizing power plays on the flop to win the hand
by Tom McEvoy
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A $500,000 Challenge Match Against Mimi Tran – Two challenge matches are in the books
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World Series of Poker, Take I – A tournament experience to remember
by Joe Sebok
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Bring 'Em On! A unique high-stakes challenge to the public
by Mike Sexton
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Don't Touch That 'Raise' Button – A common no-limit hold'em sit-and-go tournament error
by Lee H. Jones
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Running Bad – Maintaining or restoring confidence is important during bad runs
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Buddha's Third Act – What a guy!
by Max Shapiro
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The Phenomenon of the No. 1 Starter – Wagering considerations when a team's best pitcher is slated to pitch
by Chuck Sippl
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The Value of Money – Part II – A look at the value of money when expected value is involved
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Ten Common and Costly Hold'em Errors, Part I – Common preflop errors in limit hold'em
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What Does Your Sleep Have to Do With Poker? A variety of poker-related thoughts
by Roy West
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Poker in Barcelona, Part I – A trip to Gran Casino Barcelona
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A romp across the European poker landscape with the European Poker Tour
by Brad Willis
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World Poker Tour Championship – Part III – Ten Men Strong
by Lee Munzer