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by Steve Zolotow |  Published: Jul 18, 2018


It seems like everyone and almost everything goes through streaks. By streaks, I mean a prolonged series of consistent results that seem significantly different than what you would expect. There is a theory that most results, that appear unusual, are really random fluctuations in large samples. If you are interested in this check online references to the Hot Hand Fallacy. The original studies focused on basketball shooting. There are also studies that contradict that theory and say that there are streaks. It certainly seems to me that there are many streaks in non-random events. When humans are involved, we are not random. Our psychology, practice and life style influence our results. When things are going well for us, we tend to be relaxed and confident, and continue to do well. Obviously, the reverse is also true. The problem is telling random streaks from streaks due to specific causes. There has ...

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