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The Poker Player’s Manifesto - Variance III

by Bryan Devonshire |  Published: Mar 18, 2015


In the last two issues we have discussed everybody’s favorite friend, Variance. Some players are convinced that they cannot win because of variance, even though with that mindset variance is exactly what enables them to win. There are other players who are actually good enough to win, but variance has been against them for a while, and since they know poker is a skill game, they eventually assumed that they were wrong about how good they were and think they cannot win at poker, even though variance is exactly what has prevented them from winning. Variance is so great that there is no such thing as the long term in live tournament poker, thus all results must be taken with a grain of salt. Mark Newhouse and Leif Force and Maria Ho and Rep Porter and myself are good at the World Series of Poker main event, but not because ...

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