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Set-Mining — Part I

What can go wrong?

by Matthew Hilger |  Published: May 24, 2011

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This column contains excerpts from the upcoming book The Math of Hold’em, by Collin Moshman and Douglas Zare. This is Part I of a three-part series that looks at set-mining. Sets are disguised monster hands that can win large pots against strong hands or against multiple opponents. Set-mining means playing a pocket pair primarily for the chance to flop a set and win a big pot. Ideally, you make a small investment preflop, and then play a big pot as a huge favorite after you connect with the flop. Set-mining is a classic example of implied odds. You may call a raise preflop as a big underdog against a higher pair, even though you might be getting only 2-1 or worse current odds. The odds against flopping a set are roughly 7.5-1; that is, you will flop a set roughly one time in 8.5. You will rarely get odds that ...


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