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Poker Hand Of The Week: 11/29/13

You Decide What's The Best Play

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Give us your opinion in the comments section below for your chance at winning a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

Ask any group of poker players how you played your hand and they’ll come up with dozens of different opinions. That’s just the nature of the game.

Each week, Card Player will select a hand from the high-stakes, big buy-in poker world, break it down and show that there’s more than one way to get the job done.

The Scenario

You are in the money and seated at a six-handed final table. With 989,000 in chips and blinds of 8,000-16,000 with a 2,000 ante, you have a very comfortable 61 big blinds. You are currently sitting in fourth place, but there are two shorter stacks with 396,000 and 273,000, respectively.

An aggressive young player raises to 32,000 from under the gun. He is virtually tied for the chip lead with 1,437,000. Action folds around to you in the small blind and you look down at AHeart SuitASpade Suit. You three-bet to 90,000, the big blind folds and your opponent calls.

The flop is AClub Suit10Heart Suit5Club Suit, giving you top set. You bet 85,000 and your opponent calls. The turn is the 2Diamond Suit and you bet 197,000.

Once again, your opponent calls. The river is the QClub Suit, completing both flush and straight draws. There is 772,000 in the pot and you have 615,000 remaining in your stack.

The Questions

Do you check or bet? If betting, how much? If checking, how much of a bet will you call? Will you ever fold to a river bet? Would you ever bet fold in this situation? Is it best to turn top set into a bluff catcher, or should you be targeting more value?

Tony DunstWhat Actually Happened

At the WPT Caribbean stop in St. Maarten, Robbie Bakker opted to move all in holding top set on a board reading AClub Suit10Heart Suit5Club Suit2Diamond SuitQClub Suit.

His opponent, Tony Dunst, immediately called with JClub Suit10Club Suit for the second nut flush and Bakker was eliminated in sixth place, earning $28,700.

Dunst took the massive pot and a huge chip lead, eventually going on to win the tournament, his first WPT title and the $145,000 first-place prize.

What would you have done and why? Let us know in the comments section below and try not to be results oriented. The best answer will receive a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

 
 
 
 

Comments

Roy6
almost 8 years ago

All in on the turn, it is obvious he has a pair and is chasing the club.

 
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Crushinator
almost 8 years ago

Yeah, funny how his aggression went bye bye and he plays the hand passively when he flops a pair and the 3rd nut flush draw. I had put opponent on J10 C when he called the flop bet especially after checking the turn. A naked flush draw would raise the flop there IMO unless he had a sic read and had you one aces....

 
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Kristof
almost 8 years ago

pf.gross spot.check-fold i guess.he's not gonna fold anything that beats my hand.shitty river for him as well probably would check some weird two pairs back.

 
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Stefan5
almost 8 years ago

one way : i would probably check the flop if he is aggressive in hope for check-push, if he checks and blank comes on the turn i am probably all in , if scary card comes on the turn i am probably bet-fold ,if i am called on the turn, if i not improve my hand to have beaten the flush or straight i am probably fold. Of course there is a chance to be bluffed , but with that much strangth showed by me oop and sure pot commited if he bet, the chances he is bluffing are small. in this way i stay behind with about 700k which is about more than 40bb, enough to attack the first position.

second way: i bet about 80% pot on the flop ,in order to make my self pot commited and not give the right odds for him to just call.If he just call ,the pot will be about 580k i am will be pot commited that will allow me to push on the turn and chase my 10 outs if i am beaten. in this way if i loose the hand i am happy with my game , but i just did not have luck. i shake to everybody and take mu 28k$ .
cheers

 
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Rich3
almost 8 years ago

You cant check-call the river because chances are Dunst is either waiting for the club or has the last Ace or 10. He's probably not on a straight draw. When he sees the club he probably doesn't like it either so he might check behind.

The best bet is to bet a moderate amount where it looks like you cnat fold and if he goes over the top of you, then you know he's got the goods and live to fight another day. You would be really short-stacked but you would know he has the clubs. And he might pay you off if he doesn't. He knows you're not bluffing.

 
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Crushinator
almost 8 years ago

I agree, you cannot check call that spot. You have to shove the turn when you get called on the flop, with one chance to hit his flush, he might not risk it and call off. He might since he has the ten and more potential outs against just top pair. But if he had you on top set it would be a really loose call all in on the turn.

 
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shynepo3
almost 8 years ago

the river shove makes no sense at all - he's not getting a flush to fold, and nothing that he beats is calling, except for a lower set.

 
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Ian6
almost 8 years ago

I think the hand was played well by the hero. Dunst is an aggressive player who opens wide so to get AA and have him flat call a 3-bet pf in pos. is pretty standard. The flop is great hitting the set the call by dunst on flop and turn are welcomed because being as savvy in math as dunst he actually does me a favor by calling. In pos. w/ decently deep stacks i would call behind as my equity grows w/ two calls and not inflating the pot where he can put me in for 2 cards. I feel the way the hand played out with the river you have to fire because w/ dunst's reputation did he really take a -EV rout with a big pot. Also i don't think i am laying top set down with the action taken so you should def. stay in control of the pot and bet the river. If he has the flush then he has it but you got the chip leader to take a risky line for a big pot, but also QT,AT, and 55 are betting that river into if you check and could call. I just feel in the regular you win a big pot or bust but against and aggressive player that didn't show strength on the turn you more likely to take it down unless you get semi-unlucky.

 
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Jeff15
almost 8 years ago

In that situation I would have bet another 220k just in case he doesn't have it. If he does you know hes gonna push back and you fold leaving yourself left with a little less than 25 big blinds. Had I been playing from the beginning I would have bet a double pot bet on the flop. It pushes his odds over the edge and gives him two choices... fold or push. Obviously if he pushes you call and gamble with him.

 
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Jeff15
almost 8 years ago

If he does call on the flop then you push on the turn.

 
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Allison
almost 8 years ago

I would have put in a blocker bet of 1/4 or 1/3 pot. Weaker would call such a bet while the flush or the straight would raise. I don't like checking, because if villain bets, we'll be put to a tough decision with no additional information about his hand strength. Checking also gives Villain a chance to bluff and to rep a flush/straight if he doesn't have one.

 
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celebritypokerj
almost 8 years ago

Not different too much, only river play I will be small bet for reduce bluff or to hope calling with worth two pair or one pair hands.

 
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NoFear
almost 8 years ago

I check the river with 772,000 in the pot and me having 615,000 because the club is the Queen. What does he think I have? What does he think I think he has? He could have AQ (most likely), AT (least likely as he likely would have raised on flop or turn) or TT (slow playing) in that spot, or a big flush draw with a straight draw or pair. He could have put me on AA, AK, KK, QQ, JJ, or TT - four of those hands he has beat with AQ so he is going to value bet the river knowing I can't raise with the Q being the club. I would expect him to bet one-third of the pot or so wanting to get called with any of the above hands where he rivered me or thinks he has the winner, which I can afford to call and would call. If he has AJ he is going to check behind for showdown value. There are almost no hands he realistically called the turn with where he is going to bluff-shove - if he shoves I have to go with my read. I don't think he would think I had raised in the small blind with any hand that flopped a flush draw so he's not going to be worried that I have a flush. I honestly don't know if I would call a shove or not - I'd have to be there.

 
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John76
almost 8 years ago

I check. If I bet, I bet $215K-$230K. If I check, I'll check call $300K-$315K. Yes I would fold in this situation to to big of a river bet or to any raise on the river if I bet. Either play I just don't think he can ever bluff in that spot. He called two streets chasing something. I can only beat a bluff but I can't risk my tournament finding out. I need to leave myself enough chips to sill be able to compete and I'll be chip stacked around the other two short stacks. This means I still have a chance to WIN.

 
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