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Poker Hand Of The Week -- 5/9/13

You Decide What's The Best Play

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Give us your opinion in the comments section below for your chance at winning a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

Ask any group of poker players how you played your hand and they’ll come up with dozens of different opinions. That’s just the nature of the game.

Each week, Card Player will select a hand from the high-stakes, big buy-in poker world, break it down and show that there’s more than one way to get the job done.

The Scenario

There are 11 players remaining in a major tournament and you are in eighth place with 1,375,000. With the blinds at 25,000-50,000 with a 5,000 ante, you have just over 27 big blinds.

Sitting at the six-handed table, you min-raise from the hijack to 100,000 with 9Club Suit 8Club Suit. The cutoff, a player stacked with 2,840,000, makes the call.

The flop comes 10Diamond Suit 9Diamond Suit 7Heart Suit and you make a 100,000 continuation bet. Your opponent calls and the turn is the 6Club Suit, giving you a straight.

The Questions

Do you check or bet? If betting, how much? Is there any risk to letting your opponent get a free card? Is there any value to betting the turn in a situation where your opponent is likely to be way behind? What kind of hand range can you put your opponent on? If your opponent calls your turn bet, which cards are you betting for value on the river and which cards are you checking?

What Actually Happened

Jason Duval opted to check behind with his turned straight on a board reading 10Diamond Suit 9Diamond Suit 7Heart Suit 6Club Suit and his opponent, Barry Kruger, checked behind.

The river was the KSpade Suit and Duval bet 235,000. Kruger called and then mucked when Duval revealed his 9Club Suit 8Club Suit to win the pot.

Both players would eventually go on to make the televised final table of the WPT Canadian Spring Championship main event.

What would you have done and why? Let us know in the comments section below and try not to be results oriented. The best answer will receive a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

 
 
 
 

Comments

Kyle2
over 7 years ago

This comes down to several factors. Table position, table reputation, and opponent reputation. I don't know Barry Kruger so I will assume unknown.

There's 500,000 in the pot and we have 1.175M left. Leading out is very tricky, because if we get raised, we are pot committed to this hand at this current junction. We are only behind J8, but leading out takes away a lot of value from our hand. Villain needs to have a value hand such as top pair, 2 pair, QJ, or a set (last 2 unlikely). There's not much value coming from draw hands. That being said, I like to check/call on the turn. I'm not folding on this street.

As played, the river card is interesting. QJ does get there and is possible for villain to have, but that is the only hand that beats us. I fire 100% of the time with a value bet for somewhere around 200k-250k. If villain shoves, I can find a fold here, especially if player reputation is solid. I would primarily put Villain on QJ or KT (leaning towards QJ).

 
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Kyle2
over 7 years ago

A bet and a call means top pair, 2 pair, and possibly some drawing hands. If it's a shove I expect a chop most likely.

 
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Jerardo
over 7 years ago

I think you have to bet again for value.

We SHOULD NOT be afraid of J8o or J8s. I just don't think it's in villian's calling range. I think it is quite possible that J8 is in villian's 3bet range in position, but since he just elected to call I think that narrow his preflop range. Something like broadways, middle pairs, suited connectors, suited aces. I think we are getting 3bet pre with JJ+ and AQ+.

When he calls the flop, he could have a draw himself with something like KQ, KJ, QJ or a flush draw. I think if he had a bigger draw, like pair + FD or straight flush draw we'd hear about it on the flop. Because it's possible he has a draw to a higher straight or a flush draw, that's a reason to bet, as he's not calling a bet on the river if he misses. I guess you could go for a check raise all-in, but it's risky.

Other parts of his preflop range included middle pairs, which flopped sets and suite connectors, many of which are 2 pair by the turn. I think most sets and two pair would raise this flop however, so I put the likelihood of either of these types of hands as narrow by the turn, but I don't think either will fold to a bet, so another reason to bet.

Villian could also have a top pair hand with something like J10, K10, or A10. It's possible he could fold these types of hands to a turn bet, and that wouldn't be great as 2 of the 3 hands mentioned are drawing to a chop only BUT IF WE CHECK I don't think Villian WILL NOT BE ANY OF THESE HANDS! So we will instead bet the river and hope he calls a bet there but we aren't building as large of a pot as possible by doing this.

Finally, if we bet the turn we are repping a straight and that's about it. Because we are repping so narrow, I think villian may put alot of bluffs into our range and will definitely not fold sets and two pair. He might not even fold top pair. And he could still call with draws. Also, if we bet $250,000 - $300,000 on the turn, it will set up a pot of $1,000,000 - $1,100,000 on the river where we can shove for value.

 
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Jerardo
over 7 years ago

I wish I could edit my post as I used a double negative in the 5th paragraph and had a typo. I meant to say I think Villian will not bet any of these hands.

 
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zelwood
over 7 years ago

Not that I pretend to be an expert in these situations, but here's what I would do.

I'd bet the turn, fairly small, like 2/5 pot. My hope would be the villain interprets my bet as a semi-bluff, a bluff, or a defensive bet with a vulnerable made hand like an overpair. My hope would be he thinks it's unlikely for me to have the 8 and that he semi-bluff raises or just calls, both of which are possible if he has a fairly wide range of hands, including a flush draw. I would probably bet any river, about 2/5 the pot, hoping to get a call from a wide range of hands. If the river is a diamond, though, and he raises, I'm probably folding.

I also think checking is good, too, though, just that I'd more likely bet it. But if I check the turn, I'm probably going to check-raise that river, because I think it's more likely that my opponent either decides to bluff the river after I've checked twice, or actually hits that King or has 2-pair and pays off my check-raise.

So, in summary, I'd either bet turn and river, or check turn and river with hopes of check-raising river.

 
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zelwood
over 7 years ago

In previous post, meant to not say anything about river King, since that wasn't the question. My goal in checking the turn is to check the river, to induce bluffs. On unscary river cards, my goal would be to checkraise. On scary river cards, my goal would be to just induce bluffs with two checks.

 
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4soul
over 7 years ago

Yes, i bet, is the perfect way to win some money from his draws. I guess the perfect bet is 340.000.

 
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johnlee1825
over 7 years ago

I would bet around 325 on the turn and called if he shoved over the top, cause he more than likely holds a slow played set or trying to take it down with only a draw and maybe a draw w/ a pair.

 
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