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Tournament Poker Edge Analyzes A Hand Played By Ladies Event Winner Marsha Wolak

Marsha Wolak Overshoves Flop To Best Karina Jett In Ladies Event

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Marsha WolakCard Player has teamed up with the great minds from Tournament Poker Edge to bring you top-notch hand analysis from key hands during the World Series of Poker.

This time around, we’ll take a look at a hand played by eventual Ladies Event champion Marsha Wolak, who defeated seasoned pro Karina Jett heads up to win her first career bracelet and $192,344.

The hand took place heads-up, with Wolak enjoying a 3-1 chip advantage over her opponent. Though at first glance the hand looks completely standard, the guys at TPE offer up some changes that might have altered the outcome of the hand.

Take a look below.

Event — Blinds/Antes $1,000 Ladies Event 12,000-24,000 with a 4,000 ante
Player Names Marsha Wolak Karina Jett
Chip Counts 2,341,000 814,000
Hole Cards QHeart Suit 9Heart Suit KSpade Suit 10Diamond Suit

The Hand

Karina Jett raised to 60,000 on the button and Marsha Wolak made the call from the big blind.

The flop came down QDiamond Suit JDiamond Suit 8Club Suit and Wolak checked. Jett bet 70,000 and Wolak moved all in, putting Jett’s final 780,000 at risk.

Jett immediately called, turning over KSpade Suit 10Diamond Suit for an open-ended straight draw. Wolek showed QHeart Suit 9Heart Suit for top pair and a gutshot straight draw.

The turn and river fell 10Club Suit 3Diamond Suit and Wolak’s hand held to win the tournament.

Hand Analysis By TPE Pro Charles "HagbardCeline" SizemoreStreet By Street Analysis

Preflop

Action — Karina Jett opens the button and Wolak defends her big blind.

Analysis — Jett’s button raise is standard, as it Wolak’s call heads up, although three-betting is certainly an option depending on the flow of the match.

Flop

Action — The flop comes QDiamond Suit JDiamond Suit 8Club Suit and Wolak checks. Jett bet 70,000 and Wolak moves all in. Jett makes the call for her tournament life.

Analysis — Both players hit the flop. Wolak checks to Jett which she will do with most of the hands she called with pre-flop. Jett bets a bit over half pot. Jett’s sizing is fine, although she could bet a little more on such a wet, draw-heavy flop, which will have the added benefit of giving her better odds to call it off if Wolak raises.

Wolak flops the top pair with a gut-shot straight-draw. She’s flopped huge for a heads-up match and isn’t folding to Jett’s continuation bet. With just 33 big blinds effective, on this board, Wolak’s best options seems to be to check-raise and get the money in on the flop. However, shoving is probably unnecessary and she can raise smaller.

Jett calls all in. She’s getting a decent price on a call, and needs to have ~41% equity against Wolak’s range in order to breakeven on her call. Although, that is without considering the effects of ICM, which require better equity in order to call off your stack at this stage of the tournament.

Turn and River

Action — The turn and river brick for Jett and Wolak wins the tournament.

The Tournament Poker Edge Perspective

This hand appears to be pretty straightforward at first glance, however, there are some small things that both players could have done differently.

First, Wolak’s check-shove on the flop is a bit of an over bet, and against many opponents will lose value. She should be check-raising smaller in order to allow Jett to call or shove with a wider range of hands. I think she got lucky here that Jett called it off with the open-ended straight-draw.

Second, Jett’s bet on the flop got her into this very close spot facing the shove from Wolak. Had she bet bigger, then she’d be getting a better price on the call and she’d have better pot equity. An additional benefit of a larger continuation bet is that it will decrease the likelihood that Wolak check-raises light, as Jett will look committed to the pot. Also, Jett can bet bigger on this flop with her whole range to c-bet, as it’s a very drawy board. So, it’s not as though she has to give away any information about her hand with a bigger flop bet.

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