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High-Stakes Poker Review: ‘Giselle54’ Picks Off Bluffs From ‘LUKAKU’

Thanks In Large Part To A Few Ill-Timed River Bluffs, 'Giselle54' Won Seven-Figures Off 'LUKAKU'


A screenshot of the heads-up match between Giselle54 and LUKAKU on CoinPoker

The last edition of high-stakes review covered ‘LUKAKU getting the better of ‘Giselle54’ to book a huge win on CoinPoker. LUKAKU caught some dream runouts to crush Giselle54 for more than $600,000.

However, on Sept. 5, Giselle54 struck back with a $1.02 million win. Though some of their profits went to rival Jared ‘Theblez’ Bleznick’s bankroll, Giselle54 cost LUKAKU more than $1.2 million during a session of $1,000-$2,000-$400 ante and $500-$1,000-$200 ante.

The rivers favored LUKAKU last time, but this time the anonymous player attempted some out-of-line bluffs that proved seriously costly.

Loose Bluff From LUKAKU Backfires

Playing $1,000-$2,000-$400 with just under 120 big blinds, Giselle54 raised to $6,000 and LUKAKU called.

The flop came Q85, and LUKAKU checked. Giselle54 bet large, going with $9,525. LUKAKU potted to $41,275, and Giselle54 called. The turn was a 3, and LUKAKU potted. Giselle54 called, swelling the pot to $285,850 with just $95,325 behind.

The 10 completed the board, and LUKAKU put the rest of the money in. Giselle54 called with J976 for a flush, and LUKAKU revealed Q772. Lukaku had top pair, but this was a bluff.

Giselle54 collected a $476,500 pot.

Hand Analysis

LUKAKU has a normal big blind defend. Though many double-suited hands are good to three-bet, Q-7-7-2 is too disconnected to go that route.

Where things start to go south for LUKAKU is on the flop. Against a large sizing, a pair of queens with no backup can just be folded.

It may seem odd to no-limit hold’em players, but this hand just plays terribly on turns and rivers. It’s going to be in dreadful shape sometimes. Other times, it’s going to be tough to realize the raw equity of the hand because it can’t stand any heat on most runouts that don’t include a Q. Even a 7 is a mixed blessing since it brings in multiple straights.

Once LUKAKU goes for the check-raise bluff and gets called, the situation is much the same on the turn. The board has even more straight draws now, and even a deuce isn’t certain to help the hand. They don’t have any blockers to the flush draw, and every river besides a Q is difficult to play. Even with a blocker to the nuts, potting the turn is incredibly optimistic because the nuts will change so frequently on the river.

Sure enough, Giselle54 has a wrap plus flush draw for an easy call, and a nut-changing river arrives.

The best play for LUKAKU isn’t really clear on the river. They probably have no showdown value, but they also have terrible blockers for bluffing. With a minuscule stack-to-pot ratio (SPR) of about 0.33, they decide to jam, perhaps hoping to fold out something like 8-7-6-5.

Giselle54 has no choice but to call all flushes at this SPR, and they’re rewarded with a huge pot.

Giselle54 Catches Another Out-of-Line Bluff

This hand took place during the $500-$1,000-$200 portion of the match, slightly more than 120 blinds deep.

LUKAKU potted to $3,000 and Giselle54 called.

LUKAKU continued for $4,818 on the AK6 flop. Giselle54 called. Giselle54 then check-called a pot-sized bet of $15,976 on the 8 turn. The 7 brought the same sequence. Giselle54 checked, LUKAKU potted (this time for $47,930), and Giselle54 called.

LUKAKU showed Q632 for a pair of sixes. That didn’t do it against AK95 for a straight.

Giselle54 won another $143,851.

Hand Analysis

LUKAKU gets dealt a terrible hand here, one that could potentially be folded, especially in a game without antes. It’s tougher to justify folding in an ante game, so they do raise it and see a flop, one that favors the in-position player’s range. Remember that the big blind will three-bet a majority of their A-A, K-K, and A-K combos, as well as a lot of hands that make the strongest draws on this board.

Thus, LUKAKU has a reasonable continuation-bet with a pair and backdoor diamonds, but Giselle54 doesn’t go anywhere. Top two without a lot of backup can be check-called or check-raised. In this case, Giselle54 has the K but not a whole lot else.

LUKAKU goes for an extremely aggressive bluff on the turn, one which is too wide in theory. Much like in the prior hand, LUKAKU’s holding has little river playability. A 6 might give them the best hand, and other cards that pair the board would give them a bluffing opportunity consistent with their story. But they won’t have good blockers for the most part, unless a J or 10 arrives.

Giselle54 still has a good bluff-catcher on the turn, and they improve to the second nuts on the river. The out-of-position player is going to want to play some leads when the nuts change like this.

However, holding A-K gives Giselle54 very important blockers that point towards a check. If they’re going to get paid on the river, one of the most likely hands to call them is two pair. Heavily blocking that reduces the chances of getting called. The A-K combo also blocks the most likely holdings that LUKAKU might check back for showdown.

Thus, Giselle54 checks and is rewarded when LUKAKU goes for another desperation bluff on the river.

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