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Poker Hand Of The Week -- 9/28/12

You Decide What's The Best Play

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Give us your opinion in the comments section below for your chance at winning a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

Ask any group of poker players how you played your hand and they’ll come up with dozens of different opinions. That’s just the nature of the game.

Each week, Card Player will select a hand from the high-stakes, big buy-in poker world, break it down and show that there’s more than one way to get the job done.

The Scenario

There are just 21 players remaining in a major tournament and you are playing at a seven-handed table. With 57 big blinds, you are among the more comfortable stacks remaining.

With the blinds at 15,000-30,000 with a 3,000 ante, you are dealt JClub SuitJDiamond Suit and raise it to 65,000 from early position. Your opponent, sitting with 40 big blinds, calls from the blinds.

Heads up, you see a flop of 9Diamond Suit6Heart Suit5Diamond Suit. Your opponent checks and you continue with a bet of 84,000. Your opponent calls and the 2Heart Suit hits the turn.

Your opponent checks and you bet 178,000. Again, you are called and the 5Club Suit comes on the river, pairing the board. Your opponent then decides to fire in a bet of 250,000, leaving himself with just 640,000 behind. You have 1,374,000 remaining in your stack total.

The Questions

Do you call or raise? If calling, what types of hands do you expect your opponent to be turning over? What hands in his range beat yours? If raising, how much? What types of hands will your opponent lead the river and then pay off a raise with that are worse than yours?

What Actually Happened

Jeff WilliamsDeep in the World Poker Tour Borgata Poker Open, Lee Childs bet the river on a board reading 9Diamond Suit6Heart Suit5Diamond Suit2Heart Suit5Club Suit. Jeff Williams, holding JClub SuitJDiamond Suit, thought about his options for about a minute before settling on a call.

“I think I should raise here, but I just call,” he said. Childs could only show KDiamond Suit10Diamond Suit for a busted flush draw and Williams took down the pot.

Childs went on to finish in 14th place, earning $30,083. Williams narrowly missed the televised final table, busting in eighth place for $97,770.

What would you have done and why? Let us know in the comments section below and try not to be results oriented. The best answer will receive a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

 
 
 
 

Comments

Panagiotis
over 8 years ago

there is no reason to raise there because if it was a bluff you would not take a call so you would not earn a dime. the only thing that would call or reraise there is a set or a full house and you do not want that so i believe that calling the river with overpair JJ is cool and i would play that exactly like that.

 
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Jerome1
over 8 years ago

I think you have to make a thin value raise here. Possibly getting paid by 9x type hand or 33,44,77,88,1010. Also, depending on the meta game history, you may even get a 6 to pay you off.

 
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GTOmark
over 8 years ago

Really? This is your play of the week? What a let down. What the hell is villain going to call a bet preflop, flop, turn, and then reraise on the river with that hero can beat? Cardplayer your better than this.

 
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stuckinabog
over 8 years ago

GTOmark, you're* better than this

 
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Michael30
over 8 years ago

The villian is putting out a very small bet, just over 1/3 of the pot. I tend to believe that an opponent with a 5 here is going to bet the flop. Since he checked the flop and the turn, I read this as, "I think you missed with AK and I'm going to stab at it." No reason not to raise here.

 
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Nearchu
over 8 years ago

I wouldn't think my opponent has a hand that is strong by the river bet, the size of the bet is small too representing a 9 or, in some cases, a 5 but the 5 is suited like 75 or 54. The check call mode indicates a draw so it's an easy call on the river.
There is no value in raising unless you put your opponent on 9's, 8',s or 7's and think he'll call a raise on the river.

 
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Robert2
over 8 years ago

For some reason this one is tough. I haven't read the outcome yet so I am in the same boat. I'm guessing the pots around 600,000, so with a 1/3 pot size bet on the river, either he's a really sloppy player and thinks his 98 suited is good or he's be leading us along with a set and boated up on the river and wants us to call with his value bet? I would never raise here, but with that bet and pot odds you have to call unless you are positive the second 5 on the river helped him and if he has shown in the past that he initiates a bet only when he has the nuts, then even thou it would make no sense to muck you do anyway. WHAT I WOULD DO. The line I choose was pretty weak, the bets were small so he could have thought I was week there for call with a drawing hand to see if he hits. So, with the weak line I would just call on the river, no need to get greedy because normally I would re-raise, I can beat a 1010,98,77,44,33,A9, A6, 34 and all busted flushes but cannot beat A5 or pocket AA,KK,QQ,66,22,99,55 orK5,Q5(although thats a stretch). My line would have been a little more aggressive, but since it wasn't, once again it has to be a call and hope he bet so small because he thought I was betting a flush draw the whole way and he only flopped a A9.

 
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Dave10
over 8 years ago

I am going with just a call here. although the Villian may have hit a set, which is unlikely as most would have check raised the turn or the river instead of check calling.With his lead out on the river and the board texture, a raise will only be called by a hand that beats you. Your'e getting over 3.5 to 1 on a call, and your hand definetly has show down value. Call and take a decent pot.

 
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narucy
over 8 years ago

Calling is Okey, resonable. Some time QQ vs JJ or Flopping set slow play vs JJ then losing critical big pot then eliminate tournament. But still a raise is excellent. Looks like blocking-ish rivered donk bet, simply paid from J9+, TT. These are NOT small combination counts.

 
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Claypool85
over 8 years ago

I'm just calling the river. A raise on the river would be for all of his chips which a nine usually isn't going to call you with. The only hand thats calling the rest of his chips is a hand that beats you. I'm just showing down and taking the pot.

 
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ironschef
over 8 years ago

My thinking is that calling is the only viable play here. You certainly can't fold, and would still have over 1M in chips if your opponent is sloplaying a big hand. Raising is out of the question because you are unlikely to be called by a worse hand (a bluffer certainly folds to a raise) and you open yourself to a very tough decision if he re-raise shoves.

 
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arjon
over 8 years ago

Call. While I think my JJ is still ahead, I don't see the opponent calling with many hands that I beat, plus I don't want to give him the opportunity to bluff-shove. While that doesn't seem especially likely, it's not a spot I want to be put in.

There's also the tournament situation to consider, not just the hand. Calling an winning will add nicely to my stack while calling and losing will still leave me with a playable stack. All in all, the likelihood of winning more if I raise doesn't seem to warrant the risk.

 
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Mitchell1
over 8 years ago

In this position there is only one move and it is to call based on the information given, if the player betting out of position is not lee childs and is a loose cannon willing to make hero calls with marginal hands a reraise all in would be appropiate. Since it isnt a flat call is the only move, the blind could have called with a large variety of suited connected hands that missed such as 68dd or 67dd, they could very well have flopped a set or the nut straight with 78 suited. One last possibility could be a hand like 57 hearts or 45 hearts and got priced in to call picking up 2 draws with a pair on the turn, there is no reason tp put your tournament in jeopardy with a ridiculous value reraise that will only be called by a hand that beats jacks.

 
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