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Poker Hand Matchup: Kyle Cartwright vs. Stephen Strout

Swords 8 8 5 6 4

Kyle Cartwright

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 2,370,000

A 8

28.27 %

91.41 %

95.45 %

Winner!

Stephen Strout

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 1,320,000

T T

71.46 %

8.59 %

4.55 %

Posted On: Apr 13, 2021


Outcome

Preflop, with eight players remaining and blinds of 20,000-40,000 with a big blind ante of 40,000, Kyle Cartwright raised to 80,000 from the button. Stephen Strout three-bet to 155,000 from the big blind, and Cartwright called. On the flop Strout bet 190,000, and Cartwright called. On the turn Strout checked. Cartwright bet 165,000, and Strout called. On the river Strout checked, and Cartwright bet 290,000. Strout called.

Analysis

The 2021 bestbet Jacksonville Spring Series $2,500 buy-in main event drew a sizable field of 401 entries. By the time the field was narrowed down to the final table of eight, World Series of Poker bracelet winner and eight-time WSOP Circuit ring winner Kyle Cartwright had established himself as the chip leader. In this hand Cartwright raised with A-8 offsuit from the button, wielding the dual advantage of his large stack and the best position at the table. Stephen Strout picked up pocket tens in the big blind and decided to three-bet. While the decision has merit, Strout likely should have chosen a larger sizing than he ultimately went with. Cartwright had min-raised to 80,000, and Strout’s three-bet was to 155,000, or less than twice the size of Cartwright’s bet. While there is always room for variation in bet sizing, a three-bet to between three and four times the initial raise is more common among top professionals. Strout’s tiny reraise laid great odds for Cartwright, who made the call and flopped trip eights. Cartwright just called in position on the flop, and took over the betting lead on the turn. He sized down after Strout checked the turn, betting just 165,000 into a pot of 750,000. Strout called and the river completed the possible backdoor flush draw and made a straight for any player with a seven in their hand. Cartwright again chose a smaller sizing on the river, likely targeting just the kind of hand that Strout held, which was an unimproved pocket pair. Strout called the bet of just over a quarter of the size of the pot and fell to the bottom of the chip counts with eight players remaining.

 
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