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A Hand Matchup from the 2020 Irish Poker Masters Online €1,100 No-Limit Hold'em

Swords 9 8 5 T K

Manuel Ruivo

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 125,130,692

7 6

21.3 %

94.65 %

90.91 %

Winner!

Samuel Vousden

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 86,559,308

Q Q

78.31 %

4.44 %

9.09 %

Posted On: Jan 04, 2021


Outcome

Preflop, with three players remaining and blinds of 1,000,000-2,000,000 and an ante of 250,000, Manuel Ruivo raised to 4,120,000 from the button. Samuel Vousden three-bet to 16,000,000 from the small blind, and Ruivo called. On the flop Vousden moved all-in for 70,309,308, and Ruivo called.

Analysis

In this hand, chip leader Manuel Ruivo flopped a monster in a three-bet pot against fellow top online tournament player Samuel Vousden, who was second in chips with three players remaining. Ruivo opened from the button with 7-6 suited for just over a min-raise. Vousden made a healthy three-bet of around four times the initial raise size with pocket queens from the small blind. Ruivo decided to make the call, putting in around 13 percent of his stack preflop with the positional advantage. The pot grew to 34,750,000 as the flop gave Ruivo the nut straight while also putting out a flush draw. Vousden had been roughly a 4:1 favorite preflop, but now sat with less than a 1-in-20 chance of having the best hand by the river, although he couldn’t know it. Vousden had 70,309,308 remaining in his stack, or roughly twice what was already in the pot. Even if he were to make a continuation bet as small as around a quarter of the size of the pot, he would be left with not much more than one pot-sized bet remaining in his stack on the turn. With this likely in mind, he elected to overbet shove all-in on the flop. Unfortunately for Vousden, Ruivo snap-called with the best possible hand at the moment. Vousden’s odds of winning nearly doubled on the turn when the 10® gave him a gutshot draw to a higher straight, but the K© on the river locked up the pot for Ruivo. Vousden earned €101,620 as the third-place finisher, while Ruivo took more than a 4:1 chip lead into heads-up play with William Kassouf. Kassouf was able to mount a big comeback and went on to win the title and the top prize of €215,163, while Ruivo was awarded €148,042 as the runner-up.

 
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