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Poker Hand Matchup: Christoph Vogelsang vs. Stephen Chidwick

Swords Q 8 4 6 A

Christoph Vogelsang

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 1,670,000

A 3

57.91 %

63.43 %

77.27 %

Winner!

Stephen Chidwick

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 240,000

J 9

41.58 %

36.57 %

22.73 %

Posted On: Apr 22, 2020


Outcome

Preflop, with seven players remaining and blinds of 15,000-30,000 with a 30,000 big blind ante, Christophe Vogelsang raised to 70,000 from early position. Stephen Chidwick called from the big blind. On the flop Chidwick moved all-in for 140,000. Vogelsang made the call.

Analysis

Stephen Chidwick remained the short stack with the $600,000 money bubble still one elimination away from bursting. The 30-year-old British poker pro had more than $34.4 million in prior live tournament earnings coming into this event, and plenty of experience playing in high leverage situations like this. With a resume like that, his approach to playing in this precarious position is definitely worth examining. In this hand he had posted the big blind ante of 30,000 and his big blind of 30,000. That left him with just 180,000 behind. Christoph Vogelsang had opened from early position with A-3 suited and it folded around to Chidwick, who had picked up J-9 offsuit. Many players might assume that with just 8 big blinds, Chidwick would be in ‘all-in or fold’ mode. Instead, he elected to call 40,000 more with 145,000 already in the pot despite his relatively modest holding. Chidwick picked up a gutshot draw on the Q-8-4 rainbow flop and elected to move all-in for 140,000 into the pot of 185,000. The move is likely designed to try to draw folds from hands with better immediate showdown value that might feel hard pressed to call, such as K-J or even the A-3 that his opponent in fact held. Vogelsang thought things over for a while and then decided to make the call with his ace high. Chidwick had ten outs to take the lead, but none of them showed on the turn or river and he was eliminated on the bubble. He fell just one spot shy of earning his 13th cash for $500,000 or more.

 
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