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Poker Hand Matchup: Matas Cimbolas vs. Darren Elias

Swords Q J 9 6 T

Matas Cimbolas

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 5,700,000

A A

84.17 %

76.46 %

88.64 %

Winner!

Darren Elias

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 8,700,000

Q 4

15.36 %

22.02 %

11.36 %

Posted On: Apr 02, 2019


Outcome

Preflop, with three players remaining and blinds of 50,000-75,000 and a big-blind ante of 75,000, Matas Cimbolas called from the small blind. Darren Elias checked in the big blind. On the flop Cimbolas bet 110,000. Elias called. On the turn Cimbolas bet 550,000. Elias called. On the river Cimbolas bet 950,000. Elias folded.

Analysis

Playing from the small blind is challenging. You are forced to post half of a big blind before being dealt cards, you still have the big blind behind you preflop, and you are always out of position post flop. As a result of these factors, the small blind is arguably the worst position to be in. In this hand Matas Cimbolas found himself in that unenviable position, but at least managed to be dealt the best possible starting hand. The standard play would be to raise when it is folded to you, given that you should do this with a wide range of hands to try to take down the blinds and antes with just one opponent left to get through. Cimbolas elected to try a sneakier line and just limped in. Darren Elias checked behind and flopped top pair. Cimbolas led out trying to deny equity to weak hands that could make a straight while also attempting to extract value from any one pair hands. Elias called and the turn brought a blank. Cimbolas sized up, overbetting the 525,000 pot by firing 550,000. The larger sizing gives worse odds to straight draws and looks to extricate as many chips as possible from medium-strength holdings like top pair. Elias made the call with precisely that type of hand and the 10™ on the river completed both the backdoor flush draw and also many straight draws from the flop. Cimbolas made an interesting decision, making a large bet of 950,000. He would likely have had to fold if Elias were to raise, but could had possibly received hero calls by worse one pair hands that were willing to bluff catch after the scare card had come in. Instead Elias quickly folded his top pair. With that he fell outside of the chip lead for the first time at the final table, while Cimbolas continued to close the gap.

Comments

Lassedrengen
over 3 years ago

There is something wrong with the pot size; Cimbolas and Elias both put in a big blind (75k) and there is an ante of 75k. That gives 225k. Then they both put in 110k on the flop, giving a pot of 445k. So Cimbolas puts in a sizeable overbet on the turn ...

And is it true they have a 50k/75k level? Sounds strange to me ...

 
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