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Poker Hand Matchup: Niall Farrell vs. Christoph Vogelsang

Swords K 7 3 A 5

Niall Farrell

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 11,675,000

J 6

38.04 %

17.68 %

18.18 %

Christoph Vogelsang

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 8,445,000

A 7

61.51 %

82.32 %

81.82 %

Winner!

Posted On: Oct 16, 2018


Outcome

Preflop, seven players remain, with blinds of 100,000/200,000 with a big-blind ante of 200,000. Niall Farrell raised to 525,000 from the hijack. Christoph Vogelsang called from the small blind. On the flop Vogelsang checked. Farrell checked. On the turn Vogelsang bet 1,300,000. Farrell called. On the river Vogelsang bet 3,600,000. Farrell folded.

Analysis

There was a period in tournament poker, during the boom of the early 2000’s, where the ‘small ball’ approach dominated. In recent years the game’s top players have steadily reintroduced the use of larger bet sizing in certain specific situations. Larger sizing is most commonly used when the player making the bet has a polarized range, consisting primarily of bluffs or very strong made hands. Some of the benefits of larger bet sizes are that they give your opponents much worse odds to call when you are bluffing, and conversely you will win more chips if your large value bets get called. Of course, the obvious downsides are that you will lose more when your bluff is sniffed out and you might let hands that would pay off a smaller amount get away without putting in any chips when you size up your value bets. In this hand Vogelsang made a very strong two pair on the turn with aces and sevens. With two flush draws available on the turn, he opted to bet 1,300,000 into a pot of 1,550,000, targeting calls from Farrell’s strongest one pair hands. When both the flush draws missed on the river, Vogelsang continued with his approach, betting 3,600,000 into 4,150,000. Farrell had missed one of the flush draws himself, and with jack high had an easy fold. Despite that fact, this hand is still a good illustration of how to approach using a larger bet sizing. It can be a good tactic to introduce into your repertoire to make yourself harder to play against.

 
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