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Poker Hand Matchup: Joe Cada vs. Alex Lynksey

Swords K T 5 J 3

Joseph Cada

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 11,925,000

A 6

59.03 %

13.43 %

15.91 %

Alex Lynskey

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 51,475,000

K 9

40.55 %

86.57 %

84.09 %


Posted On: Jul 25, 2018


Preflop, twelve players remaining. Six-handed action, with blinds of 250,000-500,000 and an ante of 75,000. Joe Cada raised to 1,100,000 on the button. Alex Lynskey called from the big blind. On the flop Lynskey checked. Cada bet 1,000,000. Lynskey called. On the turn Lynskey checked. Cada bet 2,600,000. Lynskey called. On the river Lynskey checked. Cada moved all-in for 7,150,000. Lynskey folded.


Three players away from setting the 2018 World Series of Poker main event final table, Michael Dyer was running away with the chip lead and was stationed on Joe Cada’s direct left, handcuffing the 2009 WSOP main event champion and preventing him from getting too aggressive as he chased becoming the first two-time main event winner of poker’s modern era. When action folded to Cada on the button, he has an easy decision to raise from the button with an ace in his hand. Dyer folded ace-eight out of the small blind and Lynskey defended his big blind. He flopped top pair with his K-9 offsuit, and perhaps due to his middling kicker and being out of position, elected to pot control and check-call Cada’s continuation bet. Lynskey was the second largest stack in the field at the time, and as a result might have wanted to avoid losing a chunk of his chips so near to making the final table of the biggest event of the year. The turn brought a backdoor flush draw and completed some gutshot straight draws from the flop. Lynskey continued the bluff catching approach by check-calling another bet. The river was a blank and Lynskey checked a third time. Cada opted to move all-in, perhaps thinking that the pressure of the situation would both help lend some credibility to his three-barrel bluff while also making it harder for Lynskey to find a call. In the end the Australian did fold, and Cada nearly doubled his stack without showdown holding just ace high.


over 4 years ago

Nearly doubled his stack? He picks up 5.4 mio chips (ante: 450k, sb:250k, preflop; 1.1mio, on flop: 1 mio, on turn: 2.6mio.), which is not even half his stack at the start of the hand ...

He doesn't win the chips he himself put into the pot.

Don't think it's a great play by Lynskey. If he's ahead on the turn, he probably is so on the river as well. He must have thought of the possibility that Cada would shove the river and with a complete blank hitting, I think it's a call - albeit a close one.

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