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Poker Hand Matchup: Mikita Badziakouski vs. Daniel Negreanu

Swords 9 7 5 8 9

Mikita Badziakouski

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 4,145,000

A Q

45.17 %

20.91 %

0.0 %

Daniel Negreanu

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 5,310,000

6 6

54.45 %

78.28 %

95.45 %

Winner!

Posted On: Jun 12, 2018


Outcome

Preflop, four-handed with blinds of 20,000-40,000 with a big blind ante of 30,000. Mikita Badziakouski raised to 80,000 on the button. Daniel Negreanu three-bet to 450,000 in the small blind. Badziakouski called. On the flop Negreanu bet 250,000. Badziakouski called. On the turn Negreanu checked. Badziakouski bet 375,000. Negreanu called. On the river Negreanu checked. Badziakouski bet 1,400,000. Negreanu called.

Analysis

With four players remaining, Jason Koon was the short stack with just under 25 big blinds. Daniel Negreanu, Mikita Badziakouski and Justin Bonomo all had at least three-times as many chips. While Koon was far from on fumes in terms of the playability of his stack, the stack dynamic still disincentivized the leaders from playing too large of pots without very strong hands. Given that, Badziakouski’s approach to this particular hand is somewhat suspect. With over 100 big blinds, he should have plenty of opportunities to be aggressive without putting himself in too much risk of becoming the short stack in a single hand. Instead he went for a huge multi-street bluff. His preflop raise and call of Negreanu’s three-bet all makes perfect sense. Calling a smaller continuation bet on the flop with two overcards and ace high is also quite understandable. But when the turn brings a fourth card to a straight and Negreanu check-calls a bet, Badziakouski should likely give up on bluffing. His range as a late position raiser who just called a three-bet does connect better with the board than Negreanu’s small blind preflop three-betting range, making an attempt at the pot worth a shot on the turn. The board pair on the river is scary for Negreanu’s hand, and Badziakouski’s larger bet on the river does make it hard for anything worse than Negreanu’s straight to call. In the end Negreanu called relatively quickly and won a massive pot to take a stranglehold on the lead. Badziakouski took a huge hit to his stack, losing roughly 60 percent of his chips. He went on to finish in fourth place, earning $1.6 million.

 
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