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Poker Hand Matchup: Ian Steinman vs. Joe McKeehen

Swords A 7 5 J K

Ian Steinman

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 5,660,000


85.8 %

97.68 %

95.45 %

Joseph McKeehen

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 2,940,000


13.8 %

2.32 %

4.55 %


Posted On: Mar 27, 2018


Preflop, five-handed, with blinds of 30,000 and 60,000 and a 10,000 ante. Steinman raised to 160,000 from the small blind and McKeehen called from the big blind. On the flop Steinman bet 150,000. McKeehen called. On the turn Steinman checked. McKeehen bet 370,000, and Steinman called. On the river Steinman bet 800,000. McKeehen moved all-in for 2,940,000. Steinman folded.


Ian Steinman and Joseph McKeehen were the two largest stacks of the five players remaining, and two of the other three players had less than 20 big blinds each. When it folded to Steinman in the small blind he picked up a monster in pocket kings and made the standard raise. The 2015 World Series of Poker main event champion’s two Broadway cards made defending his big blind an easy decision. The ace-high flop didn’t deter Steinman from making a continuation bet, but when McKeehen opted to float, with just queen high and no immediate draw, it did end up slowing Steinman down. He checked on the turn, opening up the door for McKeehen to try to take it down with a bet just larger than half of the pot size. Realizing that his hand could be underrepresented, Steinman made the call on the turn. The river was worst-case scenario for Steinman, giving him second set but completing McKeehen’s backdoor straight. Steinman fired out a large bet, only to have McKeehen move all-in. Steinman was only losing to the runner-runner straight and pocket aces, which were an unlikely holding because McKeehen didn’t three-bet preflop and probably would not have bet as large on the turn once Steinman slowed down had he indeed flopped top set. In the end Steinman folded, reasoning that McKeehen’s all in move represents a very polarized range and that he was more likely in this situation to have his strongest hands due to the stack sizes and payouts at the time. Given that Steinman could fold and still be in second chip position, he opted to lay down his set of kings and preserve his stack.

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