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Poker Hand Matchup: Liv Boeree vs. Ilan Boujenah

Swords 9 4 3 J 5

Ilan Boujenah

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 305,000

Q Q

66.94 %

74.85 %

68.18 %

Liv Boeree

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 237,000

A 3

32.65 %

25.15 %

31.82 %

Winner!

Posted On: Oct 28, 2014


Outcome

Preflop, with the blinds at 3,000 and 6,000 and a 1,000 ante, Benny Spindler raised to 12,000 from under the gun, Boeree reraised to 30,000 from middle position, Boujenah reraised to 65,000 from the big blind, Spindler folded, and Boeree called. On the flop Boujenah bet 51,000 and Boeree called. On the turn Boujenah went all-in and Boeree called and was all-in.

Analysis

Suited cards hope to end up in a spot where they can make the flush, and the lesser the size of the preflop pot, the cheaper the draw will be later. So while Boeree’s preflop reraise can succeed in isolating against Spindler with Ace high in position, or preferably ending the hand preflop, it also could make for expensive drawing later. But more importantly she might be hard pressed to get away from her ragged Ace should an Ace come, and she could find herself dominated in a large pot. So her initial raise had a balance of risk and reward. Things changed substantially when Boujenah submitted a cold four-bet from his big blind. This didn’t fit the usual pattern of a squeeze. An under the gun opening raise followed by a middle position reraise differs substantially from a late position raise – button reraise pattern, or a middle position raise followed by a string of flats calls – both of the latter scenarios occasionally invite squeezes out of the blinds. The action of Boujenah’s four bet for 21% of his stack defined his range pretty well. And the portion of his range that was “making a play” or squeezing was obviously negligible. It was highly probable Boeree was dominated at this point. Boeree proceeded because Boujenah’s bet sizing lured her in, and she faced another 35,000 for the pot of 118,000. So now a hand that should have arguably sought to get to the flop as cheaply as possible was investing over 27% of it’s stack knowingly dominated. Her chip position and hand strength simply were not adequate for this spot. To the earlier point of Boeree being hard pressed to get away from an Ace should one come on the flop, she was not even prepared to get away from bottom pair. She had two backdoor draws to both the wheel and flush, but she called the flop hoping Boujenah was leading out with AK. Again Boujenah’s bet sizing successfully induced Boeree to pursue while trailing. Boujenah moved in on the turn, which gave Boeree a backdoor flush draw. Boeree would need an Ace, Three or Club to come from behind. 68.2% of the time a call would lead to a bust, 31.8% of the time she would end up with 495,000. Conversely, a fold would have left her with a stack of 20 big blinds, 120,000. In a cash game this is an attractive call, receiving 3.1 : 1 on your money as a 2.1 : 1 dog. In a tournament it’s a different story, especially since her chip position would have still been viable with a fold. Since she was chasing preflop and on the flop, it’s not surprising that trend continued on the turn. Boujenah lost 77% of his stack on the hand as he was flushed out on the river, later busting in 57th for £8,750. Boeree later finished in 27th for £14,800.

Comments

Tony24
almost 7 years ago

Wrong size 4 bet, should have been at least 75k.

Liv is a calling station who is playing on stars money, so definitely no scared money.

 
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