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Poker Hand Matchup: Mark Newhouse vs. John Dwyer

Swords K Q 5 5 A

Mark Newhouse

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 560,000

5 5

19.28 %

4.34 %

97.73 %

Winner!

John Dwyer

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 221,000

Q Q

80.32 %

91.11 %

2.27 %

Posted On: Aug 11, 2014


Outcome

Preflop, with the blinds at 2,500 and 5,000 and a 500 ante, Newhouse raised to 10,500, Dwyer called on the button, and Player A called in the small blind. On the flop Player A checked, Newhouse bet 18,000, Dwyer called and Player A folded. On the turn Newhouse bet 32,000 and Dwyer called. On the river Newhouse bet 160,000 and Dwyer called and was all-in.

Analysis

This hand occurred during hand-for-hand play on the bubble, and it’s about as ugly as it gets. Dwyer had plenty of chips to protect his hand with preflop, but he took a cautious line on the bubble, knowing that it would likely burst on this hand or the next. Dwyer flopped a set but still had to worry about the running diamonds, so he elected to just flat call Newhouse’s lead. His concerns about a flopped flush or an aggressively played draw that might get there were alleviated on the turn, where he made Queens full and almost assuredly had the hand locked up. Newhouse led again, but with no real need to protect his hand now Dwyer just flat called once again – trapping. After the river Dwyer was losing only to Pocket Aces, Pocket Kings, or Pocket Fives, all very remote possibilities. And once Newhouse set him all-in, it was far more likely that Newhouse was either making a bubble play, or attempting to get value with a losing hand. Still Dwyer tanked, but of course he realized he had to call. With multiple all-in’s and calls on the bubble three players were able to split an $18,406 min cash – meaning Dwyer got his share of $6,135 for some silver lining. 2013 November Niner Newhouse put a hell-beat on his unfortunate opponent, and incredibly he also managed to make the 2014 November Nine where he currently sits in 3rd chip position.

 
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