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Poker Hand Matchup: Sam Greenwood vs. Madis Muur

Swords A Q 7 8 6

Sam Greenwood

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 748,000

A Q

58.81 %

91.21 %

68.18 %

Madis Muur

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 880,000

9 T

40.78 %

8.79 %

31.82 %

Winner!

Posted On: Jan 22, 2014


Outcome

Preflop, with the blinds at 4,000 and 8,000 and a 1,000 ante, Greenwood raised to 18,000 from the cutoff seat, Muur reraised to 41,000 from the button, and Greenwood called. On the flop Greenwood bet 33,000, and Muur called. On the turn Greenwood bet 74,000, and Muur called. On the river Greenwood checked, Muur bet 202,000, Greenwood went all-in, and Muur called.

Analysis

Muur attempted a preflop position play, but Greenwood was in a strong part of his range in spite of his late position as he absorbed Muur’s reraise. Greenwood nailed top two-pair on the flop, and he proceeded to lure his opponent into a call with a small bet of one third of the pot. Muur had no pair and no draw yet, but he called hoping to use his position later in the hand while representing continued strength from his preflop three-bet. Muur had no idea how thin his float was in the face of his opponent’s hand strength, but he caught the best card in the deck for his hand on the turn, suddenly improving to a combination draw to the flush and open-ended straight. Greenwood continued to build a pot with another small bet, but Muur had now switched his plan from bluffing in position in favor of outdrawing his opponent. Greenwood had successfully built a decent pot with his tremendous showdown value, and now he was ready to punish his opponent with a large river check-raise should Muur bet. Apparently Greenwood had correctly surmised his opponent would be inclined to use position and could be trapped with another losing Ace-X or a bluff. However Muur made an extremely well disguised straight on the river, and he stunned his opponent by snap calling the check-raise with his unbelievable nut straight. Muur captured the chip lead on the hand, and extended his run into 4th place for $581,040. Flabbergasted, Greenwood earned $27,100 for his 68th place finish, incidentally his brothers Max and Luc also cashed in 78th and 91st.

Comments

Jeremy15
7 years ago

Best card in the deck on the turn huh? I'd take the jack of hearts myself... and would have lost this time :)

 
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sizzboom
7 years ago

The Jack of hearts is not the best card. If a King comes on the river, you likely won't win as much and could still possibly have a losing hand if an 8 comes on the river. So yes the 8 of hearts is the best card in the deck on the turn for his hand.

 
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