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Poker Hand Matchup: Joe Nguyen vs. Paul Volpe

Swords 5 3 3 A 9

Joe Nguyen

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 6,815,000


32.65 %

17.98 %

95.45 %


Paul Volpe

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 3,225,000


66.98 %

82.02 %

4.55 %

Posted On: Mar 18, 2013


Final table, four handed, with the blinds at 30,000 and 60,000 and a 10,000 ante, Volpe raised to 120,000 from under the gun, Kai Chang (7.8m) called on the button, Nguyen reraised to 350,000 from the small blind, Volpe reraised to 730,000, Chang folded, Nguyen called. On the Flop, Nguyen checked, Volpe checked. On the Turn, Nguyen checked, Volpe checked. On the River, Nguyen bet 100,000, Volpe raised to 700,000, Nguyen called.


Volpe elected to add some misdirection to his line with a check on the flop, and with only one overcard to worry about coming it may have seemed like a relatively safe spot for him to check his Kings. One reason to bet here is against pair hands, as the low carded flop might leave them bound to call. Even hands like deuces would be inclined to call, but something like a Queen on the turn might stall further calls from these pair hands. Every pocket pair would want to call on the flop, but there were many turn cards that might come that could change that. Another reason for Volpe to bet was that there was already a substantial 1,680,000 pot in play, due to the four-betting preflop. Nguyen luckily caught up on the turn with the Ace, and added some misdirection of his own with a check. Nguyen led out with a bizarre bet of 1/16th the pot on the river, giving his bet the air of a weakly mounted blocker bet. Volpe’s hand had a good deal of showdown value, but he curiously attempted to turn his hand into a bluff with a raise. This raise amount is never getting a fold from an Ace in Nguyen’s hand given his chip position, so Volpe’s play seems to be have been unfortunately contrived as a result of Nguyen’s baiting blocker bet. The mistake nearly doubled Volpe’s losses on the hand.

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