Hand Analysis: Kristen Foxen Picks Off Huge Overbet Bluff With Second PairTournament Crusher Shows Off Cash Game Skills On Hustler Casino Live |
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Over the last 12 months, Kristen Foxen has taken her accolade-rich career to the next level, winning her fifth World Series of Poker bracelet, finishing 13th in the main event for personal-best cash of $600,000, and kicking off 2025 with a pair of PokerGO Tour victories for more than $500,000.
All of those scores helped the 38-year-old Canadian overtake Vanessa Selbst on the women’s all-time money list with $11.5 million in recorded earnings.
Earlier this week, the better half of fellow high-stakes crusher Alex Foxen took her talents to the Hustler Casino Live stream for the very first time, tangling with YouTube poker superstars Wolfgang and Mariano in a $25-$50 no-limit game with a $50 big blind ante.
Although Foxen booked a modest profit on the session, her bluff-catch in one particular spot was the hand of the night by some margin.
Action
Kristen Foxen raised to $300 with 9
7 from middle position, and ‘Red Fish’ called with A
10 from the lojack. Wolfgang looked down at 10
10 and three-bet to $1,400 from the button. Both Foxen and Red Fish called.
The flop came down J 8
6 and action checked around. The turn was the 9.
Foxen checked, and Red Fish bet $2,000. Both Wolfgang and Foxen called.
The river was the 6 and Wolfgang’s tens remained best. Foxen checked, and Red Fish bet $15,500. Wolfgang folded, and Foxen called.
Foxen won the $41,425 pot with two pair, nines and sixes.
Tough spot for
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Analysis
In a loose cash game setting, a somewhat-connected hand like nine-seven suited is always going to raise and call a three-bet. It’s no surprise that the three players got into a three-way, three-bet pot with their holdings.
Action on the flop was pretty standard, as Wolfgang was the in-position aggressor and should always be checking with his immediate pocket pairs below the top flop card, like pocket nines and pocket tens. On such a middle-card heavy multi-way flop, most of his three-bet range should check here.
It gets real interesting on the turn when everybody picks up an open-ended straight draw, along a second spade on board. Red Fish bet a little under half pot and both players made a pretty standard call.
In reality, on such a draw-heavy board, you should either be going super small to try to induce raises or super big to get value while protecting your made hand. Unless you have a super protected hand like Q 10, a half-pot bet here really doesn’t make too much sense, especially with a naked open-ender.
The river pairs the board while all the draws miss. Red Fish overbet the pot, which he should be polarized with his nut hands and his bluffs. He was attempting to represent pocket eights, pocket nines, quads, a random hand like 8-6 suited or 9-6 suited, or a straight if he believed nobody had a full house, which would be a reasonable assumption given the action.
However, Red Fish’s turn sizing was the giveaway. If Red Fish had something like a set on the turn, he would have certainly bet much larger with two players behind, trying to deny equity and/or get more value from strong draws. Furthermore, Foxen blocked boats with her nine and also blocked straights with her seven. There were so many missed bluffs compared to value that she didn’t block.
She needed to call $15,500 to win a pot of $41,425, so she needed to be right 37.5% of the time to be profitable. The bluff-to-value ratio was so high in this spot and she had an incredible bluff-catching combo.
Blaise Bourgeois a WSOP Circuit ring winner, poker journalist, and contributing columnist for Card Player. Find him on Twitter/X @BlaiseBourgeois.
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