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Poker Hand of the Week: 7/10/14

You Decide What's The Best Play

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Give us your opinion in the comments section below for your chance at winning a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

Ask any group of poker players how you played your hand and they’ll come up with dozens of different opinions. That’s just the nature of the game.

Each week, Card Player will select a hand from the high-stakes, big buy-in poker world, break it down and show that there’s more than one way to get the job done.

The Scenario

You are currently three handed for a major tournament title. The remaining payouts are $283,895 for third, $394,281 for second and $637,539 for the winner. You are the shortest stack left, but with the blinds at 100,000-200,000 with a 30,000 ante and a chip count of 4,315,000, you still have just over 21 big blinds to work with.

The chip leader with 7,900,000 folds the button and you limp in the small blind with ADiamond Suit7Club Suit. The big blind, a player who has you slightly covered with 5,8785,000, checks his option.

The flop comes down QDiamond SuitJDiamond Suit3Diamond Suit, giving you the nut flush draw and an over card. You bet 200,000 and your opponent calls. The turn is the 9Spade Suit and you check. Your opponent bets 550,000. You have 3,885,000 behind.

The Questions

Do you call, raise or fold? If calling, what is your plan if you brick the river? What is your plan if you hit your flush? If raising, how much? Does an all-in bet make sense in this spot? If folding, why? What kind of hand is your opponent representing with his line?

Igor DubinskyyWhat Actually Happened

Facing a bet of 550,000 on a board of QDiamond SuitJDiamond Suit3Diamond Suit9Spade Suit at the WSOP Little One For One Drop final table, Brandon Eisen opted to move all in for his last 3,885,000.

His opponent, Theodore Driscoll, tanked for almost two minutes before calling with KDiamond Suit2Heart Suit, much to Eisen’s surprise. Eisen had to fade a king or non-diamond ten or deuce to double up to the chip lead, but the river was the 2Spade Suit, giving Driscoll the knock out.

Eisen’s third place finish was worth $283,895. Driscoll was eventually eliminated in second place, earning $394,281. The eventual winner was Igor Dubinskyy, who pocketed $637,539 and his first gold WSOP bracelet.

What would you have done and why? Let us know in the comments section below and try not to be results oriented. The best answer will receive a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

 
 
 
 

Comments

Charles11
7 years ago

Let's go through options.

1. Folding. No. There is way too much equity to be folding and we know villains range isn't super strong. So, we can't just check fold. There is a better way.

2. Calling. Better than folding but slightly. If river bricks, SPR is awkward for a river bluff if you bet less than whole stack. Plus, I doubt we fold any of villain bluff catching range on river unless we commit a lot of chips.

3. Jamming. I think this is the best option. It removes the possibility of us making a river mistake, (I.e. unprofitable bluff, etc.)

Also, villains turn bet doesnt rep much. I think villain raises pre or flop with any hand that hits hard.

I think villains turn range includes like 50% floats, 50% value hands like Qx, Jx, or any Kdx or pair/FD combo.

Turn jam folds way more than half villains range here.

 
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gjpure
7 years ago

First, I would like to raise most of the time with A7 here to about 2.5x. This would change the entire dynamic of the hand going forward and give us the betting initiative. If our opponenet calls, I like betting about half pot on the flop and the turn. This would put our opponent on the defensive and to the test instead of the other way around. I always like to make our opponents make the tough deicisions. As played, our check on the turn looks weak and gives the betting initiative now to our opponenent. Raising preflop would have possibly allowed a hand like K2 to just fold as well and defined our opponents range better. There are many variables and possibilities here, but if we bet again on the turn and our opponent calls we still can safely probablly go check check on the river and loose less chips. Again this is the power of betting and aggression. Putting our opponent on the defensive changes everything and gives us control. Sometimes checking has merits, but 3 handed and vs a blind hand A7 is a major favorite and we should be betting hard here, especially if we want to chip up and have a chance to win. The two big stacks are waiting for us to go broke and are probablly not wanting to go to war. We need to change that and now is a good time to gamble. We could even comfortably shove for 21 BB especially if we know our other two opponents are more skilled than us and we dont want to play post flop. There are really many options, but the main one is the be agressive and not get outplayed.

 
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