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Poker Hand of the Week: 5/22/14

You Decide What's The Best Play

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Give us your opinion in the comments section below for your chance at winning a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

Ask any group of poker players how you played your hand and they’ll come up with dozens of different opinions. That’s just the nature of the game.

Each week, Card Player will select a hand from the high-stakes, big buy-in poker world, break it down and show that there’s more than one way to get the job done.

The Scenario

There are six players remaining in a $1,500 tournament and you are already guaranteed at least $33,796. The winner will take home $175,459. You have 2,020,000 in chips, putting you in second place. The blinds are 15,000-30,000 with a 5,000 ante, giving you 68 big blinds.

An opponent with 1,440,000, who is in fourth place, raises to 65,000 from under the gun. You look down at KHeart Suit7Heart Suit in the cutoff and three-bet to 170,000. The blinds fold and your opponent calls. So far, you have a bit of wild reputation, but your opponent is more or less an unknown.

The flop comes down QHeart SuitJHeart Suit6Diamond Suit and your opponent donk bets 220,000. You call with your flush draw and the 5Heart Suit hits the turn. Your opponent doesn’t slow down, however, betting 350,000.

Sitting in position, you opt to once again just call. The river is the 4Heart Suit, putting four hearts on board. Your opponent wastes no time before moving all in for his last 700,000. If you call and lose, you’ll be in last place and short stacked. If you win, you’ll be the chip leader.

The Questions

Do you call or fold? What range of hands does your opponent hold that includes the AHeart Suit? What do you think of your opponent leading out on the flop after calling a three-bet preflop? Do you regret not moving all in on the turn? What kind of information are you going to use to help you make a better decision?

Bryan CampanelloWhat Actually Happened

Facing an all-in bet from John Kloch at the WSOP Circuit main event stop in New Orleans, Bryan Campanello opted to call with his KHeart Suit7Heart Suit on a board reading QHeart SuitJHeart Suit6Diamond Suit5Heart Suit4Heart Suit.

Kloch could only reveal KClub SuitJDiamond Suit, having turned second pair into a bluff. He busted in sixth place, earning $33,796.

Campanello went on to win the event, earning his third WSOP Circuit ring and the $175,459 first-place prize.

What would you have done and why? Let us know in the comments section below and try not to be results oriented. The best answer will receive a six-month Card Player magazine digital subscription.

 
 
 
 

Comments

ajnecro
7 years ago

If I had any info on him that he is solid or a rock , then I fold. In this situation I have a good chance at still winning this tournament or moving up in pay. I could put him on AQ which being short stacked he may play same way. So good chance unless he is a rock, I'm not folding second nuts. Prolly not pushing myself on turn. This close to the win I prolly gear down a bit. But it be a judgement thing.

 
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Ciaran
7 years ago

With the information given i would have put my opponent on a set of JJs as he called the pre raise bet and didn't slow down on either street with the possibility of A high flush either on the turn or river i think he would have tried to trap for me to raise on the turn or even on the river, a push just seemed like he didn't have it.

even if he had the A flush on the river at this stage it wouldn't have been beneficial to fold the hand as there was only a short % chance i was bet by nuts, holding 2nd nuts is to hard to fold.

 
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answer20
7 years ago

As with any hand you have to look ahead before you make a decision in the present. The decision in this hand occurs on the Turn. Do we raise our opponent all-in or allow our opponet some rope on the River? We need to remember that the 'River rope' also allows him to check-fold the River if he doesn't improve.

Against an unknown, I tend to play more ABC poker and would've opted for the all-in raise on the Turn. Our opponent has already put in around 50% of his stack and in general this means they are in for the full amount.

If we make the decision to call any River bet, even if the board pairs or a heart hits, then I like to put my chips into the pot when I know I am ahead and let them do the calling from behind. If we get drawn out on we still have a 20bb stack to work with. If we feel we can work this table as a short stack then that is fine.

Does our oppoenent think we are bluff shoving the Turn? Probably not knowing that 50% of their stack is already in, so we might lose value to weaker, like this one, that may feel inclined to bluff a decent River. So this is a close call.

This is a pretty weak hand to be calling a raise OOP PF with so we probably don't get a call on this Turn. But against what I would think is a much better range of hands that would be played OOP with I want to shove this Turn and force them into a decision.

In the short of it, there should be no tanking on the River here. We should've already made our mind up on the Turn what we were going to do here on a River that improves the board. GL

 
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CheckFoldKW
7 years ago

Has to be a call! It's all about the donkbet on the flop - it takes most of the aces out of his range. He isn't going to donk bet with AQ and probably wont with AJ.
Because we don't reraise at any stage, there are Ah in his range, but it doesnt look credible.

Before reading the answer, I was putting him on QJ and him turning his hand into a bluff on the river because it's very hard for us to call without a heart.

With the chance to take the chip lead, and the fact that he's unlikely to have the Ah, it's a definitely call for me. Only one card in the deck that can get us.
KW

 
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AceupmySlv
7 years ago

Auto call, accept the cooler if beat. Done with discussion.....

 
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KB212342
7 years ago

Based on the fact the villain didn't 4 bet preflop you can rule out AA,KK, or AK. Which means the only Ace hands he could have had after the donk bet on the flop is AQ or AJ, but I think leading out with AJ is a questionable play. The villain then continued to lead the hand when the 3rd heart fell, which means he wasn't concerned his opponent had a heart draw or knew unless his opponent had the Ace of hearts that he could make a play at the pot on the river. After the river and all in shove by the villain, our hero is getting close to 3 to 1 on a call here, I think he has to call in this situation. Still incomplete information on his opponents hand but he only has to be right 33% of the time for this call to make sense, and if he's wrong hes not eliminated, so yeah I call.

 
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L2K4FC
7 years ago

His preflop call of hero's raise is interesting. It says i've got a big hand but not so big that i'm ready to get it all in right now. That means if he is going to hit a flush it is going to be Q high at best. I don't like hero's call on the turn. It is kind of pointless unless you are SURE that you are not going to get outdrawn on river. I'm never folding the river jam at that point. Maybe that is bad on my part??

 
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David63
7 years ago

I'm not pushing all-in on the turn... and I believe on the turn I am still the winner. If you were to raise the turn he likely folds. Instead he continues the bluff and walks straight into a better hand. You better believe I'm calling... The person leading the betting out of position is usually representing a weak hand, IMO and experience.

 
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JuanC_TX
7 years ago

Preflop I put his range on a good hand not great since he didn’t 4b, small chance he is trapping with a big hand
On the flop, his ranges would be:
Betting for value: QJ or 66, I eliminate QQ and JJ since he didn’t 4b preflop, and Q6 and J6 because common!
Betting as a semi bluff: AhTh, Ah9h, Th9h
Betting to slow us down: a Queen (AQ, KQ, QT, Q9), a Jack (AJ, KJ, JT), a 6 (A6, 76, 65)

When we just call, our range is either a weak made hand (Q, J), or a draw
We don’t represent a strong hand as that board is very coordinated and there are a lot of hands on the turn that can kill the action, so if we had a strong made hand we would have raise.

So after the flop the pot is 855k
Opponents stack is 1,050k (35bb)
Hero stack is 1,630k (54bb)

The turn brought a 3rd heart, completing a potential flush
On the turn he bets only 350k, less than half the pot(?!) giving us 3.4-1 pot odds.
So why is he betting?
- For value: he has a made flush, probably Ace high (AT and A9) or Th9h
but why bet so small?
I mean from his point of view, what worst hands will call? Any flush (and that’s a big portion of our range!), so he should be betting more!
if we have a weak made hands, like Q, J, or 6, if we fold we are still fine with 54bb so there is no incentive to risk too much with a marginal hand.
- With a Weak made hand: Q, (AQ, KQ, QT, Q9), J (AJ, KJ, JT) a 6 (A6, 76, 65), heck even QJ and 66 just became "marginal"
Here would ask myself how does he bet with a weak made hand or a bluff? Big or small? If we had that read that would be helpful to narrow his range.
Regardless we are not folding a K high flush!

By calling we pretty much say we have a flush.

On the river he goes all in, betting 700k into a pot of 1555k, so he is giving us 3.2 – 1 pot odds
What his range?
If he is betting for value he has an Ace high flush, AT, A9, or an AhQ or AhJ that hit runner runner for a flush, but again on the turn he bet so small so I would discount the AT and A9, the AhQ seems too strong to donk on the flop, so a little less likely too, that leaves AhJ.
If he is turning a made hand into a bluff, he can have Q, (AQ, KQ, QT, Q9), J (AJ, KJ, JT) a 6 (A6, 76, 65)

We are getting pot odds of 3.2 – 1
We have a K high flush draw (the second nuts)
And he can have a lot of hands we beat
So I say we need to call, and if he had the AhJ and he backdoor into a flush, god bless him.

 
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Rusty5
7 years ago

Rather than the suggested alternative of shoving the flop, or the action that was taken of just calling his continuation bet on the turn, I would have simply min raised the turn to not reveal strength, but to appear as I were buying the pot, which would also in return put my opponent in a position to call or raise. If my opponent were to try and buy the pot and re-raise my two bet on the turn, he would most likely be bluffing and I could shove and get more out of the pot if the bluffing on the turn outweighs the amount he bets on the river, which most likely would be the case since a bluffing three bet on the turn would need to be significant.

 
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