Poker Hand Matchup: Andrew Moreno vs. Ryan Fair
Andrew Moreno	Win Pre-Flop	Win Post-Flop	Win Post-Turn
Starting Stack: 346,000	78.18 %	8.59 %	4.55 %
Ryan Fair	Win Pre-Flop	Win Post-Flop	Win Post-Turn
Starting Stack: 464,000	21.48 %	91.41 %	95.45 %	Winner!

Posted On: Sep 13, 2012

Outcome

With the blinds at 3,000 and 6,000 and a 1,000 ante, Moreno raised to 12,000 from middle position, Fair reraised to 31,000 from the cutoff seat, Moreno reraised 69,000, Fair called. On the Flop, Moreno bet 62,000, Fair called. On the Turn, Moreno checked, Fair checked. On the River, Moreno bet 60,000, Fair called.

Analysis

Moreno was lucky to avoid further damages on this hand, benefiting from both the Ace on the turn and from Fair’s missed value. Fair didn’t want to lose his customer on the flop when he simply flat called Moreno’s lead, aiming to trap. A raise could have also worked nicely here, not because his opponent was bound to call with the overpair, but because it would have mimicked a position play or a bluff and his opponent had incentive to proceed owing to the preflop action. Both lines are good for the flop, but Fair failed to build a pot on the turn and his river flat call was curiously conservative, he seems to have been wary of Aces full. It turned out to be an excellent blocker bet from Moreno on the river, who was worried about getting bluffed off his Kings by a non-Ace. Rather than face the prospect of check-mucking a his potentially leading Kings, he led out into the scary Ace high board to discourage a bluff from Fair. As it happened the bet completely stalled Fair from seeking due value. Moreno lost 55% of his stack on the hand, but rallied into a 177th place for $44,655. Fair finished in 275th for $38,453.