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Poker Hand Matchup: Steve O'Dwyer vs. Michael Mizrachi

Swords Q 3 2 T 7

Steve O'Dwyer

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 935,000

K 9

68.95 %

84.65 %

93.18 %

Winner!

Michael Mizrachi

Win Pre-Flop Win Post-Flop Win Post-Turn

Starting Stack: 730,000

9 5

27.52 %

15.35 %

6.82 %

Posted On: May 29, 2012


Outcome

With the blinds at 6,000 and 12,000 and a 2,000 ante, Mizrachi raised to 27,000 from the button, O’Dwyer called in the small blind. On the Flop, O’Dwyer checked, Mizrachi bet 30,000, O’Dwyer called. On the Turn, O’Dwyer checked, Mizrachi checked. On the River, O’Dwyer checked, Mizrachi bet 90,000, O’Dwyer called.

Analysis

O’Dwyer anticipated an automatic continuation bet on the flop from the preflop raiser, so he wasn’t ready to muck his King high just yet. He may well have been ahead considering his opponent’s wide range, and his call stood a chance at stalling Mizrachi on the turn. It did, as Grinder checked behind fourth street. O’Dwyer realized the coordinated board was quite draw heavy heading into the river, so he didn’t quite buy Mizrachi’s final bet. He realized his opponent would probably have bet his pairs on the turn rather than grant a free card, and he also realized Mizrachi would be inclined to buy the pot after three passive checks. Ace high and rivered Sevens would seldom value bet here, so King high was looking pretty good. O’Dwyer used the board texture to suss out the bluff, and his chip position gave him a working comfort zone to snap it off. These players would meet again at the final table, where O’Dwyer finished in 5th for $192,176 while Mizrachi extended his run into 3rd, for $424,618.