NBA Daily Fantasy Sports Strategy And Tips
Matchups To Exploit In NBA Games
Being in tune with each team’s hierarchy is a theme that I like to touch on a lot in this space. The reason for that is simple… it’s extremely important.
Having a good idea who will play heavy minutes and who will be productive with those minutes is obviously a huge factor when it comes to NBA daily fantasy sports success. So today, let’s touch on every team in the league and see what their current DFS outlook is in early February.
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Jeff Teague appears to have found his game again after falling off a cliff for the last couple months. He’s a value for the time being if he continues to play this way. Paul Millsap is struggling with an ankle injury but is a total stud when he’s right.
Boston’s depth and the emergence of Marcus Smart have for the most part rendered all the Celtics useless in DFS cash games for now. Jae Crowder suffered an injury in practice Monday that could result in him missing some time, opening up more playing time for Evan Turner.
This team is awful and full of inconsistent players. Brook Lopez and Thaddeus Young make for interesting tournament options, and Donald Sloan, Shane Larkin and Wayne Ellington can be used in a pinch.
This team seems to be struggling with a seemingly endless rotating group of injuries. The one bright spot right now is the return of Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. After being more or less declared out for the year in the preseason, MKG has made an early return and been playing a lot and playing well.
With Nikola Mirotic on the shelf until the all-star break, Pau Gasol and Taj Gibson become valuable DFS commodities in good matchups. E’Twaun Moore is a low end punt option now that he’s slid into the starting lineup.
Kyrie Irving is heating up and could certainly go on a run here where he smashes his DFS value for a while with his price where it is. Kevin Love and Lebron James are also playing great right now and are good DFS options.
Deron Williams suffered a hip injury in Atlanta on Monday and could miss time. The Dallas backcourt suddenly looks very thin, so expect strong opportunities for J.J. Barea and Raymond Felton if Williams is out for any time.
Nikola Jokic is doing things that I’m not sure I’ve ever seen before. The 20 year-old had over 35 fantasy points one night last week in less than 20 minutes! Then last night, he had 17 fantasy points in the first 5 minutes of action on his way to a 50 plus fantasy point outing in 27 minutes of action.
Even with the most reliable rotation in the league, it’s still tough to use Pistons in DFS. The prices of all their players have long settled in at fair value, so really you’re looking for an injury to open up opportunity for DFS value.
Golden State Warriors
As phenomenal as this team is, you have to pick and choose your spots with them in DFS. They blow so many teams out that you don’t get a full amount of minutes very often. In games that are projected to be competitive, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green can offer some value.
The Rockets have gotten healthy and now have a ton of guys fighting for playing time. A recent switch to a ‘small ball’ starting lineup and move to power forward has seemed to rejuvenate Trevor Ariza. Corey Brewer has also benefited as he is the starting small forward for now.
Ian Mahinmi is struggling with a balky back. While he’s out, Jordan Hill and Myles Turner are strong options at power forward and center in DFS.
Los Angeles Clippers
With Blake Griffin’s broken hand expected to keep him out for over a month, look for Chris Paul and Deandre Jordan to continue their stellar play and be rock solid DFS options while Griffin is out.
Los Angeles Lakers
Kobe Bryant is seemingly questionable every single night. This makes things difficult for DFS players, because when Kobe misses a game, every other Laker sees a bump up in DFS value. Jordan Clarkson, Lou Williams and Julius Randle are the Lakers I like to target when Kobe misses games.
Jeff Green is on a crazy tear that I continue to believe is a fluke and he continues to replicate. My gut says to just keep letting other people use him because he’s got an entire career saying he’s not as good as these last few weeks.
Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade both benefit greatly with the absence of Hassan Whiteside. Both are strong mid-range to high end options for the time being.
Though struggling in the win-loss column, this has turned into a very exciting team from a DFS perspective. Zach Lavine has benefited from Kevin Martin’s absence. Andrew Wiggins is playing rock solid ball. Gorgui Dieng is a great value while Kevin Garnett and Nikola Pekovic are hurt. And Karl-Anthony Towns is just ridiculously good at basketball.
The Bucks have drifted back into being tough to use in DFS. They’re very inconsistent night to night.
New Orleans Pelicans
Tyreke Evans’ struggles with knee problems has opened up playing time and usage on the court for Norris Cole and Jrue Holiday in the backcourt. Both players have run with their opportunity.
New York Knicks
Langston Galloway week was fun while it lasted. Jose Calderon appears on track to return Tuesday, leaving Carmelo Anthony as the only Knickerbocker you should have much interest in for DFS right now.
Oklahoma City Thunder
Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant are really good. You should be using them in DFS frequently. Serge Ibaka is apparently now a tournament only play, as he has been wildly inconsistent lately.
Aaron Gordon is super good in DFS right now. There’s no other way to put it. After a recent addition to the starting lineup, he’s been playing great and seems to have a minutes floor around 26 and a ceiling of 36. He’s the man for the Magic in DFS.
The arrival of Ish Smith has given this team appeal on many levels. They’re playing faster and more effectively. They’re also more competitive. Ish makes Robert Covington and Nerlens Noel very playable DFS options, especially in games that Jahlil Okafor misses.
Keep a close eye on the Suns over the next week or two. With the firing of Jeff Hornacek and the myriad ways this roster can be stretched, let’s see if maybe Markieff Morris or Mirza Teletovic turns into a great power forward play for the time being.
Portland Trail Blazers
This is the Damian Lillard show. Really, nobody else warrants much DFS consideration, save for C.J. McCollum if Lillard ever misses time.
San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs are essentially a worse version of the Warriors when it comes to DFS. With such a good team and a coach that is happy to spread out the playing time as much as possible in the regular season, the Spurs are safe to avoid most nights.
Boogie Cousins is an absolute monster. When he plays, he’s Russell Westbrook and Stephen Curry’s main rival for the stat king crown. We saw Monday what happens when Boogie doesn’t play; all of the Kings see a boost in value.
Another rock solid club with guys who simply produce what they’re supposed to time and again, the Raptors are tough to use in DFS cash games. Kyle Lowry and Demar Derozan are their two best players and are good DFS tournament options each and every night.
Finally healthy, the Jazz are a team that I will probably be avoiding for the time being. Earlier this year, when they had so many injuries, other players on the roster needed to pick up the slack. Now the team is full go, and everyone’s stats should suffer a little.
John Wall is a beast who makes for a great tournament option even in tough matchups. Marcin Gortat is solid but has seen some shine wear off with the other Wizards big men getting healthy. The wing players on this team are a hit or miss bunch in DFS.
Thanks for reading. Find me on Twitter @IanJ300 with any questions.
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